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in content posted in Baseball Talk and posted by dr. b.
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I am rooting for the Brewers in the NLCS but honestly didn't expect them to go up 2-0. The heart wants the Brewers to win, but the brain still expects the Dodgers to win it somehow. I guess I'm sort of just not convinced that this really is a different Brewers team after how badly they got beat by LA last year in the NLCS. Now I am feeling cautiously optimistic that they truly are a different team. Also didn't see the Guards taking Game #1 from Tampa in the ALCS. I know that Cleveland has been playing well lately but I was honestly expecting the Rays to sweep. They're just a better team across the board. The sweep ain't happening now but I still expect the Rays to represent the AL in the World Series. You never know though...!
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Yep The Jays had a good month of August. September fell flat. Ah well, there’s always next year! And last year’s World Series run is still fresh in the memory On the AL side, I’m jumping the White Sox bandwagon for however long that lasts. (Probably not long! ) And I will begrudgingly cheer for the Rays if it comes down to it. On the NL side, I’ll be happy to see the Braves, Brewers, or Padres go on a good run. I’m very suspicious of the Brewers though. I’ve seen them have great regular seasons and then do nothing in the postseason several times. They have to prove to me that they’re legit in October. Maybe this will be the year!
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The Jays are still clinging to some slim hopes. Probably too little too late now. We’ll see. If they get in as third Wild Card team and get a bit hot, they could make some noise. They could actually be a dangerous team in a short series. Cease and Soriano are solid starters, and the back end of the bullpen is strong. Losing to Baltimore last night was bad but at least Cleveland lost too. Assuming the Jays miss the postseason, I’m jumping in the White Sox bandwagon for however many days that lasts Bummer about the M’s dude. They ought to have had a better season for sure. I wasn’t expecting Raleigh to repeat last season, but this was a pretty steep drop off. They needed more production from Naylor and especially J-Rod. He had a decent season but should be expected to be quite a bit more impactful. I don’t have strong feelings about Wilson. Don’t think he’s a bad manager necessarily. But not a great one either. I agree he will probably take the fall.
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The Jays got smoked by KC last night Series loss. Bieber is hurt now and had been pitching well. They need him. The lineup isn’t scoring enough runs. I think nearly all the optimism I had for this team over the last few weeks has disappeared It’s been a cursed season.
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Yep, I might have called it a bit too soon for the M's. Only 4 games back compared to 3 GB for the Jays. The stupid Guardians have been on fire lately so that's a bit of a problem for both our teams. Can't catch them if they never lose again The Yanks and Red Sox look pretty safe. Potentially up to 6 teams could be in play to catch Cleveland for the third WC spot depending on who goes hot or cold in September. It could be an exciting finish on the last day of the season. But more likely it will be decidedly earlier than that and just be boring. So many mid teams in the AL this season.
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The Jays played well over the last couple weeks. 8-5 in those 13 games against the Red Sox, Yanks, and Rays. I'll take it! Keep stacking series wins in September and maybe the Jays play themselves into the last Wild Card spot. The M's on the other hand... I think they're cooked
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I was really worried about the Red Sox going into this season. Thought they had a legit chance to win the division and be very annoying. They didn’t start the season super strong though, and the Jays couldn’t get their acts together anyways, so I forgot about Boston. They’ve really turned it around over the last couple months! Ugh. The Jays are still only 3.5 games back of a Wild Card spot. They’ve won a few series in a row and might finally be starting to build some momentum. But they will need to keep winning at a good clip and leap frog several teams in front of them. The Jays’ schedule over the next two weeks is critical IMHO. - 4 games vs. Red Sox - 3 games vs. Yankees - 3 games @ Rays - 3 games @ Yankees They aren’t coming back and winning the division. But they need to win a good amount of these games against strong division rivals to keep the Wild Card hopes alive. They will probably get buried in the WC standings if they go on a losing streak now.
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Pretty busy deadline weekend for our teams. M's - Acquired Taylor Ward from Baltimore - Moved on from Luis Castillo Ward has consistently been a 2-3 win player based on BB-Ref WAR over the last few seasons. Hopefully he's helpful to the team over the next few months. He's not exactly young and I think he's coming up on free agency. I'm not sure if the M's are hoping to re-sign him or if he's just a rental. When I saw the Castillo deal, I initially thought that Seattle was just punting on the rest of the season. Maybe they still are, but once I looked at Castillo's numbers this year, I realized that there's a bit more to the story. He hasn't been great and he's still owed a lot of money. Probably smart for them to ship him out while they had the chance. Jays OUT -> Jeff Hoffman -> Daulton Varsho -> Kevin Gausman -> Tommy Nance -> Adam Macko -> Arjun Nimmala (fairly highly ranked prospect currently in AA) IN -> Jose Soriano -> Spencer Arrighetti -> Jameson Taillon -> Josh Smith -> Various prospects and names I don't know The most intriguing deal here is the trade with LAA to get Soriano. He should be a part of the starting rotation right away, and stick around the next couple of seasons. Arrighetti has some potential to help them as well, although that seems like less of a sure thing than Soriano. Taillon will I'm sure pitch for them this season because they need bodies, but he's past his prime and you can't expect much. Also interesting that they're taking a chance on Josh Smith. He's had some moments in Texas but struggled this year. Maybe they can help him turn it around. I'm sad to see Gausman go and hope they can re-sign him this winter. I'm less sad and more relieved to see Hoffman gone And mostly indifferent about Varsho. Great OF defender but frustrating hitter that should be able to produce more power than he actually does. I wish him well in Houston.
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@Eizan , happy B-day dude! It's a bummer that your M's haven't been having a great July. The last stretch especially vs. Cincinnati, then on the road in Texas and LA. Starting to fall behind in the division... But I'm sure they'll win one for you tonight against Minny!
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I've been waiting since May for the Jays to get hot. Even up to All-Star break, they were only a handful of games back in the Wild Card race. The division is almost certainly a lost hope... But I keep telling myself, all it will take is a few weeks of good baseball to get back into it. And if they get hot in September/October then who knows what might happen! But it just isn't happening Lost a series 2-1 against the White Sox after the All-Star break. Not totally surprising since the White Sox are actually a competent team again (I'm happy for their fans!) but the Jays should have enough talent to hang with them. Chicago outscored the 15-5 across those three games. Last night they get soundly beaten by the Rays, and they still have three more to play against Tampa this week. If the Rays sweep - which they probably should - then I'm about ready to just give up on this season and hope for better next summer The AL West is tight and nobody really seems to want to take control of it. I dunno, the AL just doesn't have many truly good teams so far this year. I could jump on board the White Sox bandwagon in October if they get there and both the Jays and M's miss out.
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I thought the Jays were turning a corner. Then a six-game losing streak happened They could still add to it
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The Jays have played better lately. The win % is pretty solid in the last ~25 games. If they win tonight, it’s another series win—and they finally get back to .500. Winning series has to be the goal. Keep winning 2-of-3 whenever possible. They don’t seem like a team that will go on a long win streak at any point. They dig themselves into a hole to start the season, so winning the division is very unlikely, but they can certainly be a strong Wild Card team. And if they are healthy and hitting their stride at the right time in October, they could do some damage again. There are problems though. Lots of challenges on the pitching side. And Vlad isn’t right this year so far. Still solid and hitting for average, but the power is really lacking. Not sure why. Vlad needs to be more impactful for them to really make some noise. I don’t know what to make of the M’s. Happy to see them leading the division… but the competition is pretty bad Even the White Sox have a slightly better (just barely) win % than the M’s! The AL Central and West are really hurting this year. I expected better from Houston and Detroit. Cleveland is above .500 but who knows for how long.
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If Skubal won’t re-sign in Detroit after this season then I guess they have to trade him. Otherwise it’s just poor asset management by the Tigers I’d love to see another team out-bid the Dodgers on the trade market though. The risk for some teams is what if he’s just a rental for half a season. Hard to trade a lot of prospects for that without some kind of handshake deal in place with Skubal for next offseason.
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The Rays are so annoying -_- The Jays had been on a nice little run of series victories. Then they went on this road trip. First a 2-2 split in Minnesota. I really wanted to see them win 3 of those games. Now they're in Tampa and have lost the first 2 games. That series wraps up this afternoon (probably with another Blue Jays loss!) before they head back to Toronto. They were one win away from getting back to .500 before they dropped the final game in Minny... The next series at home is vs. the Angels, so that should be winnable, but then they play the Rays again, then the Tigers, then the Yanks. Time to figure some stuff out and win games against good teams please!!! I see your M's are only one win ahead of Toronto in the W-L column, so that's not a great start. At least Seattle's run differential isn't a negative number like Toronto's
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Bit of a funny start to the season. Certain teams are disappointing so far, like my Blue Jays But I don't think any team is hopeless. Many teams are just mid. Almost every team is in the double digits for wins except the Phils and Mets (both of those teams might be hitting the panic button soon)
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I looked at the Mets the other day to see how Bo Bichette is doing over there so far. Pretty sad stuff all around I hope he bounces back soon. He can be really streak-y. The Jays finally remember yesterday that it's good to score more than one run. And they won a game. Shocker! Luckily, the Yankees haven't completely run away with the division yet. One or two weeks of good baseball and hopefully the Jays can get back to around .500 if not better. They started slow last year too. Similar story for the M's, the division is still well within reach even though they didn't have a super strong start so far. They can catch those other teams.
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It’s too early for me to be worried about the Jays yet. Lots of time. They definitely need to tighten up various aspects of their game to get better results. I think they can do it. I agree that the Yanks pose a big challenge for any AL team wanting to go to the World Series. They started strong last year too though. Sometimes stuff happens. We’ll see..!
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There was a similar situation in the Jays game yesterday, although the Rockies' manager was way less heated. The Jays' batter (Sanchez IIRC) got a strike call overturned, as it was just barely a ball. He was a tick slow in tapping his hat for the challenge, certainly a bit over the two second time limit, but the umps let the ABS challenge go ahead. Managers are going to get real mad when that happens The Rox manager was fast out of the dugout to argue it with the ump. Sadly, it didn't turn into a shouting match and ejection...
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The boys of summer are back! Jays won the home opener yesterday in walk-off fashion. I would have liked to see them put a few more runs on the board, but a W is a W. Gausman pitched really well. The was he was using and controlling his splitter was excellent. When he can locate the fastball and the splitter is working correctly, he makes hitters look silly. Especially younger guys like in the A's lineup. 11 strikeouts. Okamoto had a great first game as a big leaguer as well. Couple of hits, a walk, scored the winning run. And he looked solid at 3B as well. When he came over, there were bigger questions about the defense at 3B than his ability to hit. He doesn't have to be a Gold Glover, but he does need to at least play sound defense at 3B, and in Spring he looked better than expected. That's nice. If they need to play him more at 1B or DH then there will be a problem.
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The Mets have been very aggressive as well, so you never know what might happen in the NL. They could just be the usual LOLMets, maybe start the season well and then collapse. But there's a chance they will actually be a good team this year. The Cubs might be a feisty team again this season too. The NL obviously seems to be LA's to lose, but they could under-perform and/or suffer injuries as well. Gotta play the games.
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Yeah, Yamamoto was almost untouchable in the NLCS and World Series. Blake Snell also pitched really well up until the WS, but the Jays got to him pretty quickly in Game #1. I had hoped they would do a bit more damage against Yamamoto. To be fair, the Jays' hitters did create some run scoring opportunities against him... but they couldn't come through with the clutch hit with guys on base. When it really counted, Yamamoto made his pitches. Sometimes you just have to tip your cap. 2025 was a magical season for Jays fans. Thiiiiiiiiis close to another WS banner
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He's the Phils' bench coach now, so if it was his fault then the Jays are golden this summer!
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I would have laughed so hard (and also kinda hated it) if the umps had overturned that call. Smith's foot did appear to come off the plate for a moment just as the runner was sliding into the plate. Can't decide the World Series on a stupid challenge review though. It was extremely close, but Out was the correct call. As a mega Jays fan, it's hard for me to be objective, but I do genuinely feel like they were the better team for a good portion of the World Series. A shame they didn't find a way to win it. At the very least, this year the Jays won the division, knocked the Yankees out of the postseason (an absolute knockout!), won the ALCS, and were plenty good enough to have won the WS. The Yankees didn't make the Dodgers work nearly that hard in the 2024 WS, for whatever little that's worth
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Yamamoto is a very good pitcher indeed. Bummer.
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That was a great back and forth game last night. If I wasn’t such a die hard Jays fan and could look at it more objectively, that’s what I’d say anyways. The end was such a devastating heartbreaker. I am going through all the stages of grief All in all, it was a really competitive and exciting World Series even if my team lost and I feel absolutely gutted. Like seriously I feel sick. Gotta give credit to LA though. Three of their four WS wins were on the road. The Jays could have won last night if they could have cashed in a couple more insurance runs. They had chances. Or if the relievers could have made some better pitches Ugh baseball is so cruel